THE modern meteorologist relies on computer models for forecasting. Coupled atmospheric-ocean models, known as general circulation models, are favoured for medium to long-range forecasting with these models forecasting an overall and quite rapid … [Read more...] about What Drives Change in Antarctic Sea Ice Cover?
WE know that the Australian Bureau of Meteorology can’t forecast weather more than a few days out. So why should we believe a climate forecast to 2030? According to Sara Phillips, writing for the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, the … [Read more...] about Myth and the Bureau of Meteorology
ABOUT one week after Central Queensland University put out a media release announcing the publication of our latest paper on medium-term rainfall forecasting, John Abbot and I received a phone call from the ABC, from a rural reporter. Part of the … [Read more...] about ABC Rural Reports on New Rainfall Forecast Model
I’ve just published in the peer-reviewed literature explaining: “Much of the present research effort by government institutions in Australia, which is focused on monthly and seasonal rainfall forecasts, is limited to the application of general … [Read more...] about General Circulation Models Can’t Forecast Seasonal Rainfall
THERE are at least 3 practical ways in which medium-term rainfall forecasts for Queensland can be improved: 1. Through the use of sophisticated statistical modelling techniques, in particular artificial neural networks to mine historical data for … [Read more...] about Mining Historical Data to Provide Better Medium-term Rainfall Forecasts
THE only difference between some men and many boys is the price of their toys. This observation has much relevance to decisions made over recent years at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, BOM. A toy is a game, a gadget, a gizmo that may have … [Read more...] about Costly Climate Model Just a Big Boy’s Toy