I began my most recent newsletter to those subscribed at ‘MythandtheMurray.org’ with reference to the Michael Crichton quote: ‘If you don’t know history, then you don’t know anything. You are a leaf that doesn’t know it is part of a tree.” I … [Read more...] about Mega-Drought for Murray Darling, Predicted by Kevin Long
Rainfall forecasting
What Drives Change in Antarctic Sea Ice Cover?
THE modern meteorologist relies on computer models for forecasting. Coupled atmospheric-ocean models, known as general circulation models, are favoured for medium to long-range forecasting with these models forecasting an overall and quite rapid … [Read more...] about What Drives Change in Antarctic Sea Ice Cover?
Myth and the Bureau of Meteorology
WE know that the Australian Bureau of Meteorology can’t forecast weather more than a few days out. So why should we believe a climate forecast to 2030? According to Sara Phillips, writing for the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, the … [Read more...] about Myth and the Bureau of Meteorology
ABC Rural Reports on New Rainfall Forecast Model
ABOUT one week after Central Queensland University put out a media release announcing the publication of our latest paper on medium-term rainfall forecasting, John Abbot and I received a phone call from the ABC, from a rural reporter. Part of the … [Read more...] about ABC Rural Reports on New Rainfall Forecast Model
General Circulation Models Can’t Forecast Seasonal Rainfall
I’ve just published in the peer-reviewed literature explaining: “Much of the present research effort by government institutions in Australia, which is focused on monthly and seasonal rainfall forecasts, is limited to the application of general … [Read more...] about General Circulation Models Can’t Forecast Seasonal Rainfall
Mining Historical Data to Provide Better Medium-term Rainfall Forecasts
THERE are at least 3 practical ways in which medium-term rainfall forecasts for Queensland can be improved: 1. Through the use of sophisticated statistical modelling techniques, in particular artificial neural networks to mine historical data for … [Read more...] about Mining Historical Data to Provide Better Medium-term Rainfall Forecasts