Our relationship with nature could be more positive and more meaningful, if only we stopped trying to save it. If we really care about something, we should want to know everything about it — especially before we consider dramatic interventions like aerosol injections into the stratosphere.
In her new book, Jennifer Marohasy also warns off invoking notions of exceptionalism: whether for the coral bleaching she has observed at the Great Barrier Reef, and even for our own lives; because it may not be useful especially if it is not true.
She is advanced with the book, based on her New Theory of Climate Resilience. The key pillars — what she refers to as the nine planks — are detailed, but how to operationalise all of this?
She is determined it be an empirical data-driven model now the key planks have been sketched out. This is possible thinking about the approach taken for sorting relevant indices useful for forecasting rainfall as detailed in her 2014 paper with John Abbot (Atmospheric Research, 138, 166–178 ). The intension is to use flexible non-linear statistical tools that can extract and combine information more effectively as she used artificial neural networks and machine learning for the rainfall forecasting once the best inputs had been systematically selected and optimised.
According to Dr Marohasy the climate system is complex and non-linear, with cycles within cycles. Some of these cycles work to ratcheted up the storage of carbon over time so the modern atmosphere is actually relatively low in carbon dioxide, considering geological time frames and also historical C02 measurements; at least before they are remodelled.
Data analysis is Dr Marohasy’s strength. In her new book, she shows how the official numbers for the forests routinely cited as carbon sinks, including by the IPCC, are in fact more likely a source of atmospheric C02 at least for the time periods relevant for the carbon accounting.
In Dr Marohasy’s new theory of climate, ocean degassing is a main source of the year-on-year increase in atmospheric CO2, along with exhaling from the vast Canadian and Siberian boreal forests. The Sun is recognised as the main source of warmth, so-called ‘greenhouse gases’ are real but referred to as infrared active gases instead. The Earth doesn’t overheat because there are natural cooling feedback mechanisms including deep tropical convection and melting ice from the huge store in Antarctica.
Of course, a decade ago Dr Marohasy showed the extent of the industrial scale remodelling of historical temperatures by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology — in the case of Rutherglen, how this erroneously flipped mild cooling into strong warming. She is finding the same problem of data being fitted to the narrative rather than letting the truth emerge, when it comes to C02.
The breadth and depth of her analysis enable a new paradigm to emerge that provides a very different interpretation of contemporary temperature and C02 reconstructions: with the whitewash removed, the resilience of the Earth’s climate system is revealed in all its glory.
What then becomes obvious, is that what is really at risk, is not the Earth overheating, but your retirement savings. This is especially the case if they are tied up with carbon trading on the stock market because this is underpinned by an altogether different understanding of how carbon cycles in the biosphere one mostly based on nonsense.
As Dr Marohasy continues with her thesis that will be revealed in her new book, that she is still working on, you can show your encouragement by clicking across to her Substack and subscribing. She posts something new every week that will arrive directly into your inbox.
Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD is a critical thinker with expertise in the scientific method.
