WORKING Group II, of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), published their contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report earlier today. The summary document begins by explaining that human interference with the climate system is … [Read more...] about Finding Figures Quoted in Media in IPCC Report Released Today
Rainfall forecasting
Mega-Drought for Murray Darling, Predicted by Kevin Long
I began my most recent newsletter to those subscribed at ‘MythandtheMurray.org’ with reference to the Michael Crichton quote: ‘If you don’t know history, then you don’t know anything. You are a leaf that doesn’t know it is part of a tree.” I … [Read more...] about Mega-Drought for Murray Darling, Predicted by Kevin Long
What Drives Change in Antarctic Sea Ice Cover?
THE modern meteorologist relies on computer models for forecasting. Coupled atmospheric-ocean models, known as general circulation models, are favoured for medium to long-range forecasting with these models forecasting an overall and quite rapid … [Read more...] about What Drives Change in Antarctic Sea Ice Cover?
Myth and the Bureau of Meteorology
WE know that the Australian Bureau of Meteorology can’t forecast weather more than a few days out. So why should we believe a climate forecast to 2030? According to Sara Phillips, writing for the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, the … [Read more...] about Myth and the Bureau of Meteorology
ABC Rural Reports on New Rainfall Forecast Model
ABOUT one week after Central Queensland University put out a media release announcing the publication of our latest paper on medium-term rainfall forecasting, John Abbot and I received a phone call from the ABC, from a rural reporter. Part of the … [Read more...] about ABC Rural Reports on New Rainfall Forecast Model
General Circulation Models Can’t Forecast Seasonal Rainfall
I’ve just published in the peer-reviewed literature explaining: “Much of the present research effort by government institutions in Australia, which is focused on monthly and seasonal rainfall forecasts, is limited to the application of general … [Read more...] about General Circulation Models Can’t Forecast Seasonal Rainfall
Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD is a critical thinker with expertise in the scientific method.
