NASA’s 1971 Warning: ‘New Ice Age Coming’
Excerpt: NASA scientist James E. Hansen, who has publicly criticized the Bush administration for dragging its feet on climate change and labeled skeptics of man-made global warming as distracting “court jesters,” appears in a 1971 Washington Post article that warns of an impending ice age within 50 years. “U.S. Scientist Sees New Ice Age Coming,” blares the headline of the July 9, 1971, article, which cautions readers that the world “could be as little as 50 or 60 years away from a disastrous new ice age, a leading atmospheric scientist predicts.” The scientist was S.I. Rasool, a colleague of Mr. Hansen’s at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. The article goes on to say that Mr. Rasool came to his chilling conclusions by resorting in part to a new computer program developed by Mr. Hansen that studied clouds above Venus. The 1971 article, discovered this week by Washington resident John Lockwood while he was conducting related research at the Library of Congress, says that “in the next 50 years” — or by 2021 — fossil-fuel dust injected by man into the atmosphere “could screen out so much sunlight that the average temperature could drop by six degrees,” resulting in a buildup of “new glaciers that could eventually cover huge areas.”
NASA Recalculates hottest year in U.S. Yet Again: 1934 & 1998 Declared Tied Now
Excerpt: On Sept 15, Jerry Brennan observed that the NASA U.S. temperature history had changed and that 1998 was now co-leader atop the U.S. leaderboard. By this time, we’d figured out exactly what Hansen had done: they’d switched from using the SHAP version – which had been what they’d used for the past decade or so – to the FILNET version. The impact at Detroit Lakes was relatively large – which was why we’d noticed it, but in the network as a whole the impact of the change was to increase the trend slightly – enough obviously to make a difference between 1934 and 1998 – even though this supposedly was of no interest to anyone.
Antarctic Ice Grows to Record Level according to U. Of Illinois Polar Research Group
Excerpt: Wednesday, September 12, 2007 – New historic SH sea ice maximum and NH sea ice minimum – The Southern Hemisphere sea ice area has broken the previous maximum of 16.03 million sq. km and is currently at 16.26 million sq. km. This represents an increase of about 1.4% above the previous SH ice area record high. The observed sea ice record in the Southern Hemisphere (1979-present) is not as long as the Northern Hemisphere. Prior to the satellite era, direct observations of the SH sea ice edge were sporadic.
Say what? Polar Research Group now says ‘glitch’ caused false Antarctic record growth
Excerpt: Correction: we had previously reported that there had been a new SH historic maximum ice area. Unfortunately, we found a small glitch in our software. The timeseries have now been corrected and are showing that we are very close to, but not yet, a new historic maximum sea ice area for the Southern Hemisphere.
Flashback: Stephen Hawking Warns Earth’s Temps May Reach 250 Degrees C! in DiCaprio’s “The 11th Hour”
Excerpt: Stephen Hawking, the esteemed physicist and author, most vividly describes the direness of the situation: “We don’t know where the global warming will stop,” he explains, “but the worst-case scenario is that Earth would become like its sister planet, Venus, with a temperature of 250 [degrees] centigrade, and raining sulfuric acid. The human race could not survive in those conditions.”
Laurie David Admits to “Error” in kid’s Global Warming Book
Excerpt: Laurie David, writing in her Huffington Post column, defends her new left-wing kid’s book, The Down to Earth Guide to Global Warming. The Hollywood producer turned children’s author is attacking a recent study for catching that a graph used as in her book mislabeled CO2 and temperature in an advantageous way. < > The error that SPPI caught is not minor. I have read David’s book, and she and Cami Gordon do not make much of an effort to prove that mankind’s activities are causing global warming, or that the current trend of temperature change is abnormal when compared to prior cycles. Instead, she takes this for granted and offers a passing reference to a graph with CO2 atmospheric concentration and temperature (p. 18) as proof that economic activity threatens to wipe out penguins and polar bears. < > Of course, since David has previously stated that the goal of her book is to manipulate children, we shouldn’t be surprised that the entire second half is comprised of nothing but tips like this. http://conservativepublisher.blogspot.com/2007/09/laurie-davids-weak-defense-of-her.html
Flashback: Laurie David to Kids: ‘We want you to grow up to be activists’
Polar Bear Extinction Fears Debunked by Arctic Biologist
Excerpt: Fears that two-thirds of the world’s polar bears will die off in the next 50 years are overblown, says Mitchell Taylor, the Government of Nunavut’s director of wildlife research. “I think it’s naïve and presumptuous,” Taylor said of the report, released by U.S. Geological Survey on Friday, which warns that many of the world’s polar bears will die as sea ice vanishes due to a warming climate. < > But Taylor says that’s not the case. He points to Davis Strait , one of the southern-most roaming grounds of polar bears. According to the USGS, Davis Strait ought to be among the first places where polar bears will starve due to shrinking seasonal sea ice, which scientists say will deprive the bears of a vital platform to hunt seals. Yet “Davis Strait is crawling with polar bears,” Taylor said. “It’s not safe to camp there. They’re fat. The mothers have cubs. The cubs are in good shape.” < > The Government of Nunavut is conducting a study of the Davis Strait bear population. Results of the study won’t be released until 2008, but Taylor says it appears there are some 3,000 bears in an area – a big jump from the current estimate of about 850 bears. “That’s not theory. That’s not based on a model. That’s observation of reality,” he says. < > Taylor characterizes much of the public discussion over, as one headline has called it, “the appalling fate of the polar bear,” as “hysteria.” Taylor admits he does not see eye to eye with many other polar bear biologist, many of whom have expressed concern over whether polar bears will survive in a warmer climate. “Unlike all the others, I live in the north. My friends and neighbours are Nunavummiut,” he said. “I’m talking to people about polar bears all the time.”
Arctic Expert Debunks Man-made Global Warming Fears
(Note: Physicist Dr. Syun-Ichi Akasofu, the former director of both University of Alaska Fairbanks ’ Geophysical Institute and International Arctic Research Center who has twice been named “1000 Most Cited Scientists”, )
Excerpt: In fact, IPCC scientists do not understand the causes of the rapid increase of temperature from 1910 to 1945; or the decrease from 1945 to 1975, when CO2 levels were rising. Without understanding these recent changes, it is premature for the IPCC to jump to the conclusion that CO2 is the main cause of the last 30 years of global warming. Many people claim scientists proved the greenhouse effect with models run on supercomputers. But a supercomputer is not a crystal ball. Scientists merely enter observed (or expected) CO2 amounts into a computer and, using an algorithm, a projection emerges. No computer can accurately represent such a gigantic system as the Earth with all its unknown processes, such as the causes of the medieval warm period and the Little Ice Age. Therefore, no supercomputer, no matter how powerful, is able to prove definitively a simplistic hypothesis that says the greenhouse effect is responsible for warming. Most people, including scientists who specialize in climatology, are not aware of this weakness. In fact, the whole science of climate change based on supercomputers and algorithmic models is still in its infancy. A supercomputer cannot provide an approximate estimate of the temperature in 2050 or 2100 because scientists are not able to instruct it with all the the unknown processes that may be at play. Any conclusions drawn from such results — which may be seen as nothing more than an academic exercise — cannot and should not serve as hard facts on which to base major international policies.
Meteorologist Craig James Debunks claims on Northwest Passage
The headline in this press release from the European Space Agency reads “Satellites witness lowest Arctic ice coverage in history”. In history! That sounds like a long time. However, when you read the article you find “history” only goes back to 28 years, to 1979. That is when satellites began monitoring Arctic Sea ice. The article also says “the Northwest Passage – a long-sought short cut between Europe and Asia that has been historically impassable.” I guess these people flunked history class. It has been open several times in history, without ice breakers. The first known successful navigation by ship was in 1905.
Kyoto projects harm ozone layer: U.N. official
Excerpt: The biggest emissions-cutting projects under the Kyoto Protocol on global warming have directly contributed to an increase in the production of gases that destroy the ozone layer, a senior U.N. official says. In addition, evidence suggests that the same projects, in developing countries, have deliberately raised their emissions of greenhouse gases only to destroy these and therefore claim more carbon credits, said Stanford University ‘s Michael Wara.
Waste at Starbucks: Coating on coffee cups puts lid on recycling
Excerpt: Starbucks goes through roughly 2.3 billion paper cups a year and touts its national award for using cups made of 10 percent recycled material. The sleeves on the cups even plead, “Help us help the planet.” But don’t be confused. Starbucks promotes recycling on its cups, but the cups themselves aren’t recyclable here or in most other cities nationwide. “Well, they tricked me,” said Nicole Mejias, 22, a self-described Starbucks freak. “I immediately associate recycling with Starbucks because of their cups. That’s so hypocritical. I would have never guessed” that the cups weren’t easily recyclable. The reason: The plastic coating that keeps the cup from leaking also prevents it from being recycled with other paper products. That could be overcome, but it would cost more. Anything can be recycled, but “The system is not designed to take the individual Starbucks cups,” said Steve Sargent, director of recycling for Rumpke Recycling, Columbus ‘ largest recycler.
Waste Management, North America ‘s largest recycler, won’t take the cups, either. But many employees have been telling customers otherwise. They say their Seattle-based employer never made the situation clear.
“I totally thought the cups were recyclable. I think almost everyone did,” said Melanie O’Brien, an Otterbein College student studying environmental initiatives who has worked at Starbucks.
Gore charges $25,000 per person for meet-and-greet in Australia
Excerpt: Mr Gore made his comments after reporters were asked to leave the lunch venue. Despite the cost, lunch in the 700-seat room at the Sydney Convention Centre was a sell-out, as is tomorrow’s event in Melbourne . VIP packages, which included a spot close to Mr Gore and a meet-and-greet with him, cost $25,000. < > “It’s [the Arctic ] melting 10 times faster than previously recorded. Experts are now saying that if we don’t act with urgency, the entire ice cap could be completely gone in less than 23 years.”
Cap-and-Trade Could Cost Average Family $10,800 in Lost Income
Excerpt: A cap-and-trade scheme for controlling greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) would impose significant economic costs on the U.S. economy and is not a sound policy response to current concerns about global warming, says renown economist Arthur Laffer in a new study released today. “Dr. Laffer’s analysis is another death knell for the cap-and-trade approach to addressing concerns over carbon dioxide emissions,” said Steven Milloy, executive director of the Free Enterprise Education Institute (FEEI), the nonprofit group sponsoring the study. “The Department of Energy, Congressional Budget Office and, now, Dr. Laffer have all concluded that cap- and-trade would be disastrous for the U.S. economy,” added Milloy.
Climate change as an excuse to ‘tax the [bleep] out of us’
Excerpt: Christopher Alleva On Saturday, the Wall Street Journal featured a discussion with Michael O’Leary, CEO of low fare Irish airline, Ryanair. Portrayed as kind of a swashbuckler, O’Leary offered up an interesting array of comments on the airline industry and the regulatory environment, but he saved up his most scathing attacks for the new climate change taxes with which Britain is hitting the airlines. His profanity-laced tirade regarding these taxes is right on the money, literally! Mention airlines and carbon dioxide in the same sentence, and he begins peppering his language with four-letter words. Earlier this year, before becoming Britain ‘s prime minister, Gordon Brown raised taxes on air travel to and from the U.K. The then-Treasury chief’s stated purpose was fighting climate change. Mr. O’Leary, whose airline serves more than a dozen British airports, demurs: “He just raised taxes on airlines. It has [bleep]-all to do with climate change! We’ve written several letters . . . to the Treasury, asking what the money’s going to be spent on. We still haven’t gotten a reply.” They can’t reply because that money went straight to the general fund to pay for pensions and the national health system! O’Leary wasn’t done yet, laying bare, the whole global warming business for the fraud that it is. “…the problem with all this environmental claptrap . . . it’s a convenient excuse for politicians to just start taxing people. Some of these guilt-laden, middle-class liberals think it’s somehow good: ‘Oh, that’s my contribution to the environment.’ It’s not. You’re just being robbed–it’s just highway [bleeping] robbery.” He observes that passenger airlines are responsible for only 2% of carbon dioxide emissions world-wide: “It’s less than marine transport, and yet I don’t see anyone [saying], you know, ‘Let’s tax the [bleep] out of the ferries.’ ”
Greenhouse gas mandates burden poor
Excerpt: the Edison Power Research Institute issued a report that provided an economic analysis of California ‘s climate initiatives — a prototype of the one by which Florida is now modeled. The EPRI says cumulative costs to the California economy, just to meet its 2020 targets, could range from a hefty $104 billion to $367 billion and lead to a future of severe electricity shortages in the state. Put another way, the policy would cost every California household a staggering $31,900, or about two-thirds of one year’s median income for all residents. This would even be worse for blacks and Hispanics, where the costs would be about 90 percent of one year’s household income. The EPRI further states that poorer households in California would bear a much larger burden relative to their income than would wealthier households. While all consumers would face persistently higher energy and energy-induced prices, the impact of these cost-of-living increases is far heavier on families earning $30,000 than on families earning more than $1 million a year. For the record, only 7 percent of California ‘s population is African-American, as compared with nearly 16 percent in Florida — and most Florida residents who are older than 65 live on fixed incomes. These are, sadly, the people who are often most susceptible to the economic harm these climate change policies would most assuredly spawn.
Wacky weather may bring summer snow to Sierra Nevada
Excerpt: Snow? In the summer? It’s possible this week in the Sierra Nevada , just days before fall officially arrives.
What’s the carbon footprint of a potato?
Excerpt: Walkers Crisps is the first firm to put carbon footprint figures on its products, with nine more companies set to follow. How are these figures calculated? On taking a food item off a supermarket shelf, consumers can instantly read in detail the impact it will have on the body. But what about the effect on the planet?
McDonald’s waste to power buildings
Excerpt: Buildings such as hospitals and theatres will be powered by rubbish from McDonald’s restaurants in a new pilot scheme. Eleven fast-food restaurants in Sheffield, Rotherham and Barnsley, South Yorkshire , will take part in the initiative, which will turn waste into electricity and heating for 130 buildings in the area.The scheme will save each restaurant from sending 100 tonnes of refuse to landfill each year and could be rolled out across the country if successful.
Most Science Studies Appear to Be Tainted
Excerpt: Statistically speaking, science suffers from an excess of significance. Overeager researchers often tinker too much with the statistical variables of their analysis to coax any meaningful insight from their data sets. “People are messing around with the data to find anything that seems significant, to show they have found something that is new and unusual,” Dr. Ioannidis said. In the U. S. , research is a $55-billion-a-year enterprise that stakes its credibility on the reliability of evidence and the work of Dr. Ioannidis strikes a raw nerve. In fact, his 2005 essay “Why Most Published Research Findings Are False” remains the most downloaded technical paper that the journal PLoS Medicine has ever published. < > Findings that have been refuted can linger in the scientific literature for years to be cited unwittingly by other researchers, compounding the errors.
Reuters: Wooly Mammoth Dung Speeds Global Warming
Excerpt: But Zimov, a scientist who for almost 30 years has studied climate change in Russia ‘s Arctic , believes that as this organic matter becomes exposed to the air it will accelerate global warming faster than even some of the most pessimistic forecasts. “This will lead to a type of global warming which will be impossible to stop,” he said. < > A United Nations report in June said there was at yet no sign of widespread melting of permafrost that could stoke global warming, but noted the potential threat. So much gas to spew, so little time.
Stupidity will kill us more surely than global warming.
Excerpt: Miss Earth Australia Contestants: So, we could smile to read contestant Snezana declare that “Salinisation (sic) of land is one of the major environemtal (sic) crises facing Australia “, and Kirra warn that “the biggest problem in our enviroment (sic) today is our lack of water”. At worst we’d have wondered how badly we teach English as Angelique demanded help for an “environmnet” in danger, and Natalia wept for an “enviornment (sic) that sustains us”. How cute, these earnest bikini babes, so keen to save something they cannot even spell.
But how scary, too, that many of these contestants want to save this thing they cannot spell from a threat they cannot understand. You see, someone – a few of the girls dobbed in Al Gore – has filled their pretty heads with such wild fears of global warming that poor Amanda now wails that “the human race will eventually become extinct”. Scared silly, like so many children now, by professional panic merchants, it seems there’s nothing these girls won’t now blame on global warming; even tsunamis caused by earthquakes. Christine, for instance, says she’s been worried about global warming “from when the tsunami happened in Thailand back in December 2004”. “Hey! Me too,” squeals Georgina . <>
And I ask again: Who really is making a bigger fool of themselves over global warming; these harmless beauty contestants or our politicians
Chill Pill: Combat global warming? There are better things we can do for the Earth. (By Pete DuPont)
Excerpt: The National Center for Policy Analysis’s new Global Warming Primer (www.ncpa.org/globalwarming/) shows that over the past 400,000 years, “the Earth’s temperature has consistently risen and fallen hundreds of years prior to increases and declines in CO2 levels” (emphasis added). For example, about half of the global warming increases since the mid-1800s occurred before greenhouse gas emissions began their significant increases after the 1950s, and then temperatures declined well into the 1970s when CO2 levels were increasing. < > Whereas 2,000 people died in the United Kingdom in that heat wave, last year the BBC reported that deaths caused by cold weather in England and Wales were about 25,000 each winter, and 47,000 a year, in the winters of 1998 to 2000. Similarly, in Helsinki , Finland , 55 people die each year from heat and 1,655 from cold.
LA Times Goofs on Math
Here’s what Monday’s editorial claimed:
“A 100-square-mile area of Nevada , if equipped with solar devices, could supply the U.S. with all the power it needs, according to the Energy Department.”
Note: Oops: The difference between “100-square-mile” and “100-mile-square” is massive. It’s the difference between 100 square miles—and 10,000 square miles. Keep in mind, the entire state of Nevada is roughly 110,000 square miles.
LA Times Issues Correction:
Excerpt: An editorial Monday on renewable energy said that a “100-square-mile” area of Nevada , if equipped with solar devices, could meet all of the United States ‘ power needs. It should have said a “100-mile-square” area.
Colorado Springs Gazette Cites EPW Reports
Excerpt: The only disasters caused by global warming exist in contrived computer models so unreliable they can’t replicate yesterday’s weather, let alone the next century’s temperatures. Almost daily, new evidence is offered to refute the claims of global warming alarmists.
“An abundance of new peer-reviewed studies, analysis and data error discoveries in the last several months has prompted scientists to declare that fear of catastrophic man-made global warming ‘bites the dust,’ and the scientific underpinnings for alarm may be ‘falling apart,’ ” according to U.S. Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla.
One More Reason to Distrust Global Warming Predictions
Excerpt: Writing in the Wall Street Journal, Robert Lee Hotz cautioned us that alarming sloppiness in statistical studies is all too common. He cited a study by Tufts University professor John Ioannidis: “The hotter the field of research the more likely its published findings should be viewed skeptically, he determined.” No one was even attempting to measure Global Mean Temperature (GMT) during the 1880s. The GMT climate record is a statistical re-construction primarily based on modern data, which itself has been shown recently to be subject to systematic error in need of correction.
New Pacific Research Institute Report Reviews the History of Environmental Alarmism and Its Policy Impact
Excerpt: “A major challenge in developing appropriate responses to legitimate problems is that alarmism catches people’s attention and draws them in,” said Dr. Kaleita. “Alarmism is given more weight than it deserves, as policy makers attempt to appease their constituency and the media.” Examples of poor and self-contradictory policy choices in California include: Taxpayer money spent on a lawsuit against nearly the entire automobile industry in North America to seek damages that have not yet occurred. The Low Carbon Fuel Standard recently promulgated by the governor of California to promote the use of ethanol in the state’s fuel supply. Ethanol reduces fuel efficiency, which means drivers will need to burn more fuel to go the same distance. San Francisco ’s ban on the use of plastic bags in city businesses. In reality, the manufacture of paper bags releases more greenhouse gases than the manufacture of plastic bags.