Southeast Queensland has experienced heavy rain with storms dumping more than 80mm in some parts, causing widespread flash flooding. I am sorry for everyone who has been flooded. It can be devastating – flooding and losing things. Totals of 80 … [Read more...] about Pretending. About the Weather too
Rainfall forecasting
Opportunities for Better Rainfall Forecasts, & AI
Several people have emailed me an article from the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, with claims that some startups can provided more accurate rainfall forecasts than the Bureau – using artificial intelligence (AI). The Bureau’s counter claim, … [Read more...] about Opportunities for Better Rainfall Forecasts, & AI
Cyclone Jasper & BOM Forecasting – Getting to the Truth
A lie will travel halfway around the world while the truth is lacing her boots, so the adage goes. And so, the showmen will continue to misrepresent natural disasters that befalls northern Australia while finding something popular to say at the … [Read more...] about Cyclone Jasper & BOM Forecasting – Getting to the Truth
Rainfall Not Unprecedented, Skill at Forecasting Dismal
Summary The recent torrential rains in southeast Queensland are not unprecedented. The Australian 24-hour rainfall record of 907 mm is still Crohamhurst in the Brisbane catchment recorded on 3rd February 1893. We don’t know how much rain fell at … [Read more...] about Rainfall Not Unprecedented, Skill at Forecasting Dismal
Wet Summers During La Niña Cycles
Last night I was very briefly on Sky Television, and we were reminded by Andrew Bolt that Professor Tim Flannery once said the dams would never fill again. Back in 2009 we were told to expect drought as the new norm here in Australia because of … [Read more...] about Wet Summers During La Niña Cycles
Skilful Monthly Rainfall Forecasts
THE accurate weather forecast of James Stagg back in June 1944 is considered crucial to the successful D-day invasion that changed the course of WWII. Should we find ourselves at war again, is there an institution or individual capable of … [Read more...] about Skilful Monthly Rainfall Forecasts
Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD is a critical thinker with expertise in the scientific method.
