LATE last week, the Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence released its second report**, which was tabled in parliament by Minister for Climate Change, Kate Jones.
The Centre receives substantial funding through the state-funded Office of Climate Change, headed by Premier Anna Bligh’s husband, Greg Withers. It is an open secret that re-election of a Queensland Labor government at the last two elections has only been achieved by pandering to phantasmagorical Green demands, which have included the creation of a climate change Office and Centre.
It is therefore no surprise that the Centre’s 2010 report adopts the same alarmist tone that is invariably favoured by Green global warming zealots, including those with PhDs. The message to Queenslanders is that unless they sell their SUVs, run their cars on ethanol, and accept a tripling in the cost of electricity and other sundry penalties, then:
• Queensland will get hotter, with rising sea-levels
• The iconic Great Barrier Reef will be destroyed
• Queensland will suffer more extreme weather events, such as cyclones and floods
This motley assembly of tired, alarmist assertions is made up either of facts that are entirely unsurprising and unthreatening (such as that gentle sea-level rise is likely to continue, as it has for the last 150 years), or of facts and suppositions that are entirely wrong (such as that the reef is certain to be destroyed, or that it is known that future temperature will resume warming, and that if it does there will necessarily be an increase in the number or intensity of cyclones).
Most of the alarming predictions made in the 2010 report from the Climate Change Centre are the outcome of unvalidated computer general circulation models. The usefulness of these models can be judged by the type of disclaimer that CSIRO attaches to its computer model reports, such as a previous report that was completed for the Queensland government in 2002, viz:
This report relates to climate change scenarios based on computer modelling. Models involve simplifications of the real processes that are not fully understood. Accordingly, no responsibility will be accepted by CSIRO or the QLD government for the accuracy of forecasts or predictions inferred from this report or for any person’s interpretations, deductions, conclusions or actions in reliance on this report.
Minister Kate Jones has no business foisting on Queenslanders the science fiction imaginings of a protected clique of highly qualified, lavishly funded, scientific show ponies, who understand that their role is to report to the government only the news that it wants to hear.
This article was written by Charlotte Ramotswe.
** Climate Change in Queensland: What the science is telling us, Office of Climate Change, Queensland Government 2010