A CNN/TIME survey of Asia-Pacific countries reports that avian flu is expected to be the biggest global issue in 2006, followed by economic slowdown and terrorism.
What happened to global warming? Why didn’t it rate a mention in the survey?
The Australian weather bureau is predicting that tomorrow will be the hottest New Year’s Day on record – at least in Sydney. But with freezing conditions in Europe, will 2005 end up being on average, cooler globally than 1998?
Interestingly, according to the CNN survey, the war in Iraq was of concern to only 7 percent of respondents, with the highest awareness in Australia (13 percent).
My best wishes to readers of this web-log for the New Year, for 2006 …another chance for us to get it right.
And a quote from Eleanor Roosevelt as we end 2005,
“Understanding is a two-way street”.
Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD is a critical thinker with expertise in the scientific method.
>The Australian weather bureau is predicting that tomorrow will be the hottest New Year’s Day on record – at least in Sydney. But with freezing conditions in Europe, will 2005 end up being on average, cooler globally than 1998?
The global temperature will finish up far far above average and in the top 4 years on record. At the moment 1998 and 2005 are statistically indistinguishable. The fact that 2005 is probably going to be almost as warm as 1998 is extraordinary because it was not aided by an El Nino event and because global ocean temperatures have an emerging cool bias in recent years due to the influx of ocean buoy data. We will no doubt hear more about this second point in the next year.
Global warming continues unabatted – the linear trend from 1998 to 2005 is +0.17C/decade almost 3 times the rate of warming observed during the 20th century as a whole.
Happy New Years
David
The ABC and BOM did not say that parts of WA have had the coldest Xmas weather for years – the reportage is selective.
Firstly could we find evidence of previous scientific prophecies that have come true and compare with those that have not – then apply that data to the model?
Climate is defined as average weather over a period of 30 years – hence a 4 year rise from using one computation methodology of “global temperature”, among many, is irrelevant.
As the BOM noted Sydney had the highest recorded temperature, 45.3C (Jan 14 1939 ). Well before the massive increase in global CO2 levels, one notes.
To work out whether 2005 was globally hotter requires the collection of data to 2020 in order to calculate a 30 year climatically relevant mean.
Unless one works for the IPCC and estimates by inventing the data for 2006 to 2020 to arrive at a climatic relevant global mean of temperature.
Sigh – Louis still struggling with grade one maths (sigh again for the amazing degree of contorted thinking). Louis – get the Australian temperature archive from the Bureau and tell us what’s happened. Stop pussy-footing around. Maybe your Mac isn’t up to it. I’m sure Warwick will help you. Or you can help Warwick write the global reveal-all paper.
Rog “evidence of scientific prophecies that have come true” .. .. mmmm – have a look out your window out thar on the plantation – it’s called the 20th and 21st centuries.
Rog – and your reporting is even more selective – cherry picking even – do the maths and tell us what the overall result is. Or even better help Louis and Warwick -. If you wait for the Bureau’s annual sumamry I’m sure they will report all manner of interesting anomalies – hot and cold.
Here’s a little job for you Phil, seeing as you appear to have so much spare time on your hands.
There has been a big push for hybrid vehicles ie fuel/electric to reduce fossil fuel usage. What happens in an accident? Say there is a prang and the occupants need to be cut out, what about the high voltage cables that could be exposed to accidental contact causing injury or death to the rescuers?
Worse still, the batteries could spill starting a fire that would lead to an explosion. All that fuel and all that stored electric power;
“Artificial misconduct such needle penetration, pressing or ignition on Dynamic Li-ion Rechargeable Battery, fuel tank, hydrogen FC reactor or hydrogen cylinder may cause three different results: Big explosion for fuel tank; Big explosion for hydrogen fuel cell too; Only combustion without explosion for lithium ion fuel cell.”
No way Jose.
http://www.thunder-sky.com/en/manual.htm
No problem for me – alternatives have problems. I’m sure the ever helpful market will solve all.
Anyway – dont worry about changing the subject – step up and do some maths and inform us instead of having a random thought attack on temperature trends. If you have any time after banjo lessons.
Interesting though despite assertions of selective reporting by the Bureau by Rog their media releases report cool spring for Perth, cool October and cool November.
http://www.bom.gov.au/announcements/index.shtml
Aren’t facts so inconvenient for ill-considered politically motivated swipes.
“The ABC and BOM….”
Get your facts straight before taking ill-considered politically motivated swipes.
From the ABC;
1. Hottest New Year’s Day forecast. 31/12/2005. ABC News Online 8: 46am AEDT Hottest New Year’s Day forecast The Weather Bureau is predicting tomorrow will be the hottest New Year’s Day on the Sydney record. …
2. Record high temperatures hit Victoria. 31/12/2005. ABC News Online 8: 34pm AEDT Record high temperatures hit Victoria Many parts of Victoria have recorded their hottest ever December day. … And temperatures have reached above 42 in Melbourne, making it the hottest New Years Eve in more than 140 years.
3. NSW News. ABC News Online
Summary: … Hottest New Year’s Day forecast The Weather Bureau is predicting tomorrow will be the hottest New Year’s Day on the Sydney record.
4. Victoria News. ABC News Online
Summary: … Record high temperatures hit Victoria Many parts of Victoria have recorded their hottest ever December day.
5. Perth records coolest December in decades. 31/12/2005. ABC News Online
Summary: … The average Perth temperature for 2005 is the coldest in nearly 20 years, while globally it is the second hottest year on record.
6. Sydney gears up for NYE celebrations. 31/12/2005. ABC News Online
Summary: … Hottest New Year’s Day forecast Holiday season partying strains hospital resources ABC Top Stories …
7. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24/12/2005. ABC News Online
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
8. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Longreach News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
9. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Mt Isa News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
10. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Gold Coast News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
11. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Queensland Summer News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
12. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Cairns News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
13. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Mackay News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
14. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Bundaberg News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
15. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Sunshine Coast News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
16. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Toowoomba News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
17. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Townsville News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
18. Queenslanders sweat as mercury soars. 24 December 2005. Central Queensland News
Summary: … The bureau says it will be one of the hottest on record, with the mercury likely to hit the high 40s in central and western Queensland. …
I’m not addressing the press – you are.
Your “and” not mine.
I’m simply talking about the Bureau.
My point still stands. Nice try at wiggling out of it.
What is you point? (define “political”)