I was chatting with a friend on Friday, about the various dynamical state variables, as opposed to external drivers, that might need to be incorporated into my new Theory of Climate Resilience. Ultimately, I want a quantitative model, that can test various hypotheses including that the tropical Pacific Ocean never gets particularly hot — never more than about 30C — because of tropical convection that is also moving energy to the poles.
He is doing this thinking for me under some duress. At least, he readily admits that he would rather be ‘eradicating the old theory’ and attacking all the propaganda from the IPCC and the World Economic Forum (WEF). Alas.
All the while he agrees with me, that ultimately, rebuttals never win. If we are to win in this fight against the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming propaganda —as though the extra carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, not the Sun, is warming the oceans — we need our own new theory of climate change. For sure, as I have written over and over, the history of science shows that failed paradigms are never disproven until they are replaced.
This will all be resisted, of course, until it shifts like the house of cards that it is. Hopefully. One day. Before they begin the geo-engineering.
Meanwhile they are making a fortune out of the ‘old theory’ that was always good politics. As I have written in my first piece for the new Counterpoint section at my Substack that will be published tomorrow, it is mostly a summary of the global dimming that is already underway, but I have included some comment about motivations:
World Economic Forum estimate says they only need globally about $125 trillion total by 2050 for climate investment to achieve net-zero (roughly $4.2 trillion annually). Of course, there is some variability in regional projections depending on scope and assumptions and costs of geo-engineering.
Never mind that atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide follow temperature increase; that has been the case at least for the last many hundreds of thousands of years— but perhaps not always. Since at least the last 400,000 years, temperature has led any change in atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide, because of Henry’s Law and the extraordinary reserve of carbon in our oceans.
Did you know carbon reserves in the ocean are in the order of 40,000 gigaton, the annual flux between the oceans and the atmosphere is naturally in the order of 90 gigaton, and they make a fuss about some 6 gigaton from so-called fossil fuels that as far as I can tell is mostly breathed in by forests and so there is measurable global greening. The latest figures confirm robust global greening, with 55–75% of land areas showing increased vegetation since the 1980s, driven primarily by carbon dioxide fertilization (70–76% attribution). This has also boosted crop yields that are up 13%.
It is my plan to post a well-researched article at Substack each Monday, as a Counterpoint to what may be making news. It won’t make me a fortune, but it will help me pay the bills, if you could consider taking out a Substack subscription, CLICK HERE.
Of course, I will continue mainly working on my New Theory of Climate Resistance that will be published elsewhere. In part, because, as I was reading at Substack, just this morning, every writer is misunderstood.
Apparently, Sir Arthur Conan Doyle considered his Sherlock Holmes stories ‘a lower stratum of literary achievement’ and thought his novels were far better. (Can you name any?) Borges once remarked, ‘I think of myself as a poet, though none of my friends do.’ (Didn’t even know he wrote poems.) Sylvia Plath derided The Bell Jar as ‘a pot boiler’ (that is, a piece of art produced to keep the heat on). Elizabeth Barrett Browning wrote poems about slavery and politics, but now the only poem anyone remembers is the one about how much she loves her husband (You know it: ‘How do I love thee? Let me count the ways’). After he published The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, Thomas Kuhn spent the rest of his life arguing with his critics (and—purportedly—throwing ashtrays at them).
In the meantime there is something already at Substack from me, not in the new Counterpoint section with a first post already written and scheduled for tomorrow, but on my Substack homepage, as I resurrect my work from long ago, much of it never published, on the sea dykes that have destroyed the Murray River’s estuary, ClICK HERE.
I’m looking forward to trying Substack
Nothing ventured, nothing gained
Meridional Transport might be the main driver.
https://judithcurry.com/2022/09/22/the-winter-gatekeeper-hypothesis-vii-a-summary-plus-qa/
A dynamical state variable: marine heatwaves?
Thanks Ironicman,
I clicked across from the link you have provided, and found ‘Meridional transport’ illustrated at figure 3.2, with the measurement as watts per metre squared. So it would appear the discussion is about radiative transfer. Back to IPCC thinking. :-(.
And you have also mentioned marine heatwaves, that could be measured in terms of ocean temperatures.
At what depth would you measure the temperature, and what might drive any change in the present value of this dynamic variable?
Thanks Mike Burston, And for your continued interest and support over all the years.
Jennifer’s work on Lake Alexandrina is important.