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Miniposts 0.6.5

Methane Leak
Scientists have discovered the Arctic ocean seabed is leaking huge amounts of methane into the atmosphere.  The research published in the journal Science shows the permafrost under the East Siberian Arctic shelf, which was thought to be a barrier sealing methane, is perforated.  Read more here. (1)

NYT: Pachauri Faces Credibility Siege
The New York Times is reporting that: Dr. Pachauri and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are now under intense scrutiny, facing accusations of scientific sloppiness and potential financial conflicts of interest from climate skeptics, right-leaning politicians and even some mainstream scientists.  More here. (1)

Phil Jones Guilty, But
The university at the centre of the climate change row over stolen e-mails broke the law by refusing to hand over its raw data for public scrutiny.  B ut…  Read more here. (0)

Banks Leave Carbon Market
Banks and investors are pulling out of the carbon market after the failure to make progress at Copenhagen on reaching new emissions targets after 2012.  Read more here. (0)

UK Met Office Can't Forecast Weather
The UK Met Office is debating what to do with its long-term and seasonal forecasting after criticism for failing to predict extreme weather.   It was predicted that this winter would be warmer than average – yet it has been unusually cold.  Read more here. (2)

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How Much of Australian Agricultural Production is Exported?

Hi Jennifer,

 

This article disputing the percentage of Australian agricultural produce that is exported appeared on Agmates at the end of August. 

 

I feel it should have a wider airing, especially if we have all been misled about this subject. 

 

http://www.agmates.com/blog/2008/08/29/myth-busted-australia-exports-just-22-of-ag-production-not-80/

 

The link to the original article is here

 

http://www.agmates.com/blog/2008/01/01/report-into-ag-production-export-discrepancies/

 

You may like to consider it as a blog topic. 

 

Cheers, Helen

 

PS And I grabbed this from one of the links:

 

At the end of the Customs House Meeting, the committee had established the facts, and the subsequent agreement of proceedings became known as the Customs House Agreement.

 

 

The Customs House Agreement

  • It is unequivocally agreed that for the year 93/94 that only 22% of farm gate value is directly exported from Australia.
  • It is agreed that direct exports, together with the first round total of indirect exports, roughly account for 25% or an additional three percentage points,
  • All agreed that those who propose the higher figures like 80% are simply wrong,
  • ABS agreed that 66% was questionable and problematic ,and
  • ABS would not arrive at 66% figures using accepted methods,
  • Only 7 of 53 sectors exported more than 50% of output,
  • All agreed the real proportion of exports as shown by Dr McGovern was well known for some time,
  • Figures such as 80% use FOB values to compare with farm gate values,
  • Some calculations have led to double counting or have included inappropriate components which have distorted outcomes,
  • Errors occur when comparing value added items like biscuits in a container on board ship with wheat at farm gate or perhaps a bottle of wine on board ship with the value of grapes at farm gate,
  • In some cases inappropriate basis are used eg. the value of spraying or shearing being added to exports of wool, grain or cotton,
  • Other examples of double counting occur when such things as sausages consumed by coal and steel miners in their respective industries are classified as exported agricultural production.

All these definitional and methodological anomalies distort real farm gate values. Some extreme methods of calculation have arrived at up to 200% of farm gate value exported.

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