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	<title>Comments on: More Skepticism in the Mainstream Media: Case of the Warm and Fuzzy</title>
	<atom:link href="http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/</link>
	<description>a forum for the discussion of issues concerning the natural environment</description>
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		<title>By: Graeme Bird</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59396</link>
		<dc:creator>Graeme Bird</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Sep 2008 05:59:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59396</guid>
		<description>We&#039;d be there with it by now if the alarmists hadn&#039;t sucked out all the oceans. Its just a matter of carrying out good research on a pretty limited number of relationships.

You go to guys who are studying planetary orbits versus solar phenomenon and the blogs are slowed down to a post a month.

Its just disgraceful what these science frauds have done.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We&#8217;d be there with it by now if the alarmists hadn&#8217;t sucked out all the oceans. Its just a matter of carrying out good research on a pretty limited number of relationships.</p>
<p>You go to guys who are studying planetary orbits versus solar phenomenon and the blogs are slowed down to a post a month.</p>
<p>Its just disgraceful what these science frauds have done.</p>
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		<title>By: Ian Gould</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59395</link>
		<dc:creator>Ian Gould</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Aug 2008 17:31:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59395</guid>
		<description>Jenifer,

Could you comment on the time axis of trhe &quot;global mean temperature&quot;: chart?

As published it appears to suggest that the period 1910-1925 and 1925 to 1930 are equivalent.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jenifer,</p>
<p>Could you comment on the time axis of trhe &#8220;global mean temperature&#8221;: chart?</p>
<p>As published it appears to suggest that the period 1910-1925 and 1925 to 1930 are equivalent.</p>
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		<title>By: Gary Gulrud</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59394</link>
		<dc:creator>Gary Gulrud</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Aug 2008 14:36:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59394</guid>
		<description>&quot;We are only just beginning to understand the presence of a multitude of factors let alone quantify and evaluate them.&quot;

Good writin&#039;.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;We are only just beginning to understand the presence of a multitude of factors let alone quantify and evaluate them.&#8221;</p>
<p>Good writin&#8217;.</p>
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		<title>By: barry moore</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59393</link>
		<dc:creator>barry moore</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Aug 2008 02:28:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59393</guid>
		<description>Bernie; Gary is absolutely right the suns influence is so much more than just the variation in radiation. We are only just beginning to understand the presence of a multitude of factors let alone quantify and evaluate them. The correlation is there and it is only the first clue as we have said so many times correlation does not prove causation so much more research has to be done and even 10 years is an eye blink with respect to data collection on this subject. I have been very interested lately in researching the gravitational pull of all the solar system components on each other and how it causes wobbles and eccentricities in all the orbits including the sun. This causes the fluid components on the surface to oscillate, best example being our tides, this could also effect our ocean currents which have a major effect on the climate, El Ninos etc. Perhaps the sun has currents caused by varying gravitational forces which effects its performance. There is so much that we do not know it is totally irrational to take a dogmatic stand. Some may say we are dogmatic but in almost every post by Graeme is asking for evidence this can be seen as the position of a passionate debater but it certainly can not be called dogmatic.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bernie; Gary is absolutely right the suns influence is so much more than just the variation in radiation. We are only just beginning to understand the presence of a multitude of factors let alone quantify and evaluate them. The correlation is there and it is only the first clue as we have said so many times correlation does not prove causation so much more research has to be done and even 10 years is an eye blink with respect to data collection on this subject. I have been very interested lately in researching the gravitational pull of all the solar system components on each other and how it causes wobbles and eccentricities in all the orbits including the sun. This causes the fluid components on the surface to oscillate, best example being our tides, this could also effect our ocean currents which have a major effect on the climate, El Ninos etc. Perhaps the sun has currents caused by varying gravitational forces which effects its performance. There is so much that we do not know it is totally irrational to take a dogmatic stand. Some may say we are dogmatic but in almost every post by Graeme is asking for evidence this can be seen as the position of a passionate debater but it certainly can not be called dogmatic.</p>
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		<title>By: Gary Gulrud</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59392</link>
		<dc:creator>Gary Gulrud</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Aug 2008 17:21:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59392</guid>
		<description>Bernie,

Please direct people with a less careless manner and precision of expression.

KuhnKat, on an adjoining thread, gives a link to SORCE data, the latest satellite launched to study solar TSI.  He points out that while the variance at 1AU is small, the variance here at earth is 6% per year, a rather larger number.

Now we also know that TSI does not account for all the solar energy received, e.g., solar wind and the ionized electrons, protons and atomic nuclei input teraWatts at the poles near solar minimum on each earth directed CME.

Another possible solar effect, again at solar minimum, is to increase cloudiness and decrease insolation.  The earth&#039;s albedo has been increasing throughout the new millenium and the reduction in TSI reaching the ground has already decreased more that 10W/m^2, or more than the variance in solar output.

Moreover, these are smoothed vaiues.  Engineers damp readings inorder that they converge to an average value rather than flailing about, limit to limit.  Just the other day, one satellite was offline (SOHO?) due to ccd saturation, being hit with a rare flare(rare for solar minimum, anyway).

Well, solar flaring has been absent since Feb. 07, whereas it continued daily, uninterrupted all thru the 1996 minimum.  On this end at earth, UV, 20% of the solar spectrum in energy, can spike 100%.  These spikes are not currently incorporated in the data.

There is more.  40% of the energy received is IR.  A mere 1% reaches the surface.  The remainder is absorbed in the atmosphere.  The variation and consequences I have yet to sort out.


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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bernie,</p>
<p>Please direct people with a less careless manner and precision of expression.</p>
<p>KuhnKat, on an adjoining thread, gives a link to SORCE data, the latest satellite launched to study solar TSI.  He points out that while the variance at 1AU is small, the variance here at earth is 6% per year, a rather larger number.</p>
<p>Now we also know that TSI does not account for all the solar energy received, e.g., solar wind and the ionized electrons, protons and atomic nuclei input teraWatts at the poles near solar minimum on each earth directed CME.</p>
<p>Another possible solar effect, again at solar minimum, is to increase cloudiness and decrease insolation.  The earth&#8217;s albedo has been increasing throughout the new millenium and the reduction in TSI reaching the ground has already decreased more that 10W/m^2, or more than the variance in solar output.</p>
<p>Moreover, these are smoothed vaiues.  Engineers damp readings inorder that they converge to an average value rather than flailing about, limit to limit.  Just the other day, one satellite was offline (SOHO?) due to ccd saturation, being hit with a rare flare(rare for solar minimum, anyway).</p>
<p>Well, solar flaring has been absent since Feb. 07, whereas it continued daily, uninterrupted all thru the 1996 minimum.  On this end at earth, UV, 20% of the solar spectrum in energy, can spike 100%.  These spikes are not currently incorporated in the data.</p>
<p>There is more.  40% of the energy received is IR.  A mere 1% reaches the surface.  The remainder is absorbed in the atmosphere.  The variation and consequences I have yet to sort out.</p>
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		<title>By: Gary Gulrud</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59391</link>
		<dc:creator>Gary Gulrud</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Aug 2008 15:35:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59391</guid>
		<description>&quot;The lack of correlation between solar output and temperature as been repeatedly demonstrated in the last several years.&quot;

Uh, Toby, what Bernie meant to say was:

Measurements by satellite of solar TSI since 1979 show a mere 0.1% variance between secular Schwabe cycle max and min.  .

Sami Solanki of Max Planck, famously noted that this variance was insufficient to account for climate warming during this period.  Sami also said the sun&#039;s output was at a 10,000 year high in a different paper.  Sami is prolific, publishing as a co-author about every other week.
I doubt he proofs these papers, but maybe I don&#039;t understand academia.

Google Scholar? May I ask, at what level do we teach?
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;The lack of correlation between solar output and temperature as been repeatedly demonstrated in the last several years.&#8221;</p>
<p>Uh, Toby, what Bernie meant to say was:</p>
<p>Measurements by satellite of solar TSI since 1979 show a mere 0.1% variance between secular Schwabe cycle max and min.  .</p>
<p>Sami Solanki of Max Planck, famously noted that this variance was insufficient to account for climate warming during this period.  Sami also said the sun&#8217;s output was at a 10,000 year high in a different paper.  Sami is prolific, publishing as a co-author about every other week.<br />
I doubt he proofs these papers, but maybe I don&#8217;t understand academia.</p>
<p>Google Scholar? May I ask, at what level do we teach?</p>
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		<title>By: Bernard J.</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59390</link>
		<dc:creator>Bernard J.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Aug 2008 14:20:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59390</guid>
		<description>Start here Graeme Bird.

&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm&lt;/a&gt;

And seriously, try Google Scholar - there are yet other, recent studies that show that solar activity over the last several decades has not caused most of the observed temperature trend.

No lying involved unless, of course, we include your contribution.

</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Start here Graeme Bird.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm" rel="nofollow">http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm</a></p>
<p>And seriously, try Google Scholar &#8211; there are yet other, recent studies that show that solar activity over the last several decades has not caused most of the observed temperature trend.</p>
<p>No lying involved unless, of course, we include your contribution.</p>
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		<title>By: Bernard J.</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59389</link>
		<dc:creator>Bernard J.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Aug 2008 11:28:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59389</guid>
		<description>Toby.

The lack of correlation between solar output and temperature as been repeatedly demonstrated in the last several years.

Try Google; and especially Google Scholar.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Toby.</p>
<p>The lack of correlation between solar output and temperature as been repeatedly demonstrated in the last several years.</p>
<p>Try Google; and especially Google Scholar.</p>
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		<title>By: toby</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59388</link>
		<dc:creator>toby</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Aug 2008 03:18:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59388</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.canberratimes.com.au/news/opinion/editorial/general/crucial-to-keep-open-mind-in-a-climate-of-change/1255345.aspx&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.canberratimes.com.au/news/opinion/editorial/general/crucial-to-keep-open-mind-in-a-climate-of-change/1255345.aspx&lt;/a&gt;

&quot;A former head of CSIRO&#039;s division of space science, Dr Ken McCracken was awarded the Australia Prize the precursor of the Prime Minister&#039;s Science Prize in 1995. Now in his 80s, officially retired and raising cattle in the ACT hinterland, he is still very active in his research field of solar physics.

McCracken is adamantly not a climate change sceptic, agreeing that rising fossil-fuel emissions will be a long-term cause of rising global temperatures.

But his analysis of the sun&#039;s cyclical activity and global climate records has led him to the view that we are entering a period of up to two decades in which reduced solar activity may either flatten the upward trend of global temperatures or even cause a slight and temporary cooling. In a paper given in 2005 to a &#039;&#039;soiree&#039;&#039; hosted by then president of the Academy of Science, Professor Jim Peacock, McCracken said the sun was the most active it had been over 1000 years of scientific observation. This made it inevitable that its activity would decrease over the next two decades in line with historically observed solar cycles.&quot;

So if the sun is at its most active for 1000 years ( ie since MWP) it is surely likely that temperatures are also at highs?

The Canberra times is very careful to point out that this scientist is a believer.

It also goes onto stress how important it is to let us know that temps could go down......and they seriously expect us not to be sceptical...

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.canberratimes.com.au/news/opinion/editorial/general/crucial-to-keep-open-mind-in-a-climate-of-change/1255345.aspx" rel="nofollow">http://www.canberratimes.com.au/news/opinion/editorial/general/crucial-to-keep-open-mind-in-a-climate-of-change/1255345.aspx</a></p>
<p>&#8220;A former head of CSIRO&#8217;s division of space science, Dr Ken McCracken was awarded the Australia Prize the precursor of the Prime Minister&#8217;s Science Prize in 1995. Now in his 80s, officially retired and raising cattle in the ACT hinterland, he is still very active in his research field of solar physics.</p>
<p>McCracken is adamantly not a climate change sceptic, agreeing that rising fossil-fuel emissions will be a long-term cause of rising global temperatures.</p>
<p>But his analysis of the sun&#8217;s cyclical activity and global climate records has led him to the view that we are entering a period of up to two decades in which reduced solar activity may either flatten the upward trend of global temperatures or even cause a slight and temporary cooling. In a paper given in 2005 to a &#8216;&#8217;soiree&#8221; hosted by then president of the Academy of Science, Professor Jim Peacock, McCracken said the sun was the most active it had been over 1000 years of scientific observation. This made it inevitable that its activity would decrease over the next two decades in line with historically observed solar cycles.&#8221;</p>
<p>So if the sun is at its most active for 1000 years ( ie since MWP) it is surely likely that temperatures are also at highs?</p>
<p>The Canberra times is very careful to point out that this scientist is a believer.</p>
<p>It also goes onto stress how important it is to let us know that temps could go down&#8230;&#8230;and they seriously expect us not to be sceptical&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Gary Gulrud</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/08/more-skepticism-in-the-mainstream-media-case-of-the-warm-and-fuzzy/comment-page-5/#comment-59387</link>
		<dc:creator>Gary Gulrud</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Aug 2008 22:12:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1993#comment-59387</guid>
		<description>&quot;And gee Gazza if you&#039;re computer engineer and not a top flight scientist excuse us if we also discount your own philosophical opinions.&quot;

Luke, mi amigo, in economics it&#039;s called &#039;Comparative Advantage&#039;.
My first degree was in Bio, focussing on Evolution.
On my first return, for a CompSci/Math degree, a good buddy pursuing the CompSci, had a PhD. in Botany, and had recently completed a 6 month study of lichens, in Brooks Range Alaska; likely the umteenth such, for which he earned, to the immense gratitude of his young family, $6000, U.S.
The IBM PC was nascent and computers since have done alright by me.
Even though I&#039;m a bit of a &#039;tard.  I feel at home here, Ok?
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;And gee Gazza if you&#8217;re computer engineer and not a top flight scientist excuse us if we also discount your own philosophical opinions.&#8221;</p>
<p>Luke, mi amigo, in economics it&#8217;s called &#8216;Comparative Advantage&#8217;.<br />
My first degree was in Bio, focussing on Evolution.<br />
On my first return, for a CompSci/Math degree, a good buddy pursuing the CompSci, had a PhD. in Botany, and had recently completed a 6 month study of lichens, in Brooks Range Alaska; likely the umteenth such, for which he earned, to the immense gratitude of his young family, $6000, U.S.<br />
The IBM PC was nascent and computers since have done alright by me.<br />
Even though I&#8217;m a bit of a &#8216;tard.  I feel at home here, Ok?</p>
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