Australian IPS Space Weather Agency Moves Solar Cycle 24 Predication Away by 6 Months
Posted by Paul, August 22nd, 2008 - under Uncategorized.
Tags: Climate & Climate Change
Due to the proximity of the IPS predicted rise of solar cycle 24 to observed solar cycle 23 solar minimum values, and the apparent lack of new Cycle 24 sunspots, IPS has again moved the predicted solar cycle away by 6 months.
Ionospheric Prediction Service (IPS): CYCLE 24 PREDICTION MOVED AWAY BY 6 MONTHS
Hat tip to Anthony Watts
Louis – all you have to say is that you fully support Archibald’s papers. Is that what you’re saying?
Luke,
No, I never ever said that – what jooo-joo juice are you on in Canberra?
NEWS FLASH: The IPS has been using the numbers: 2, 5, 14, 19, 22, 29, 34 and 38 for TattsLotto for the past few years. These numbers were based upon the results of 18 months analysis using the most powerful supercomputer in Australia.
However, it has become increasingly apparent that these numbers are “unlucky” numbers, because…well…they just haven’t come up!
Therefore, the IPS has decided to commission a new, more powerful, hideously more expensive supercomputer, which we fully expect will have complete accuracy at predicting the TattsLotto numbers.
For the sake of clarification, the IPS stresses that it was not the theory, the algorithim, nor the skill of the researchers which was at fault in this latest attempt – it was the fault of all levels of government, as they would not spend sufficient money on programs which would have ensured that reality conformed with theory.
The IPS affirms the IPCC’s position that, given sufficient funding, the rules of logic and science will give way to the shear weight of money and the future will become predictable.
Well if it isn’t the Archibald hahahahaha argument. What an idiot you are Luke. Archibald is mostly just reporting what the solar people already know. So whats your problem. You are not a scientist Luke. You are an idiot. Nexus has no valid argument against Archibald. Nexus is just another idiot like yourself.
Mate are you really that thick. Seriously? Well I guess your photo answers that eh?
No no. You’re an idiot. Archibald was reporting a scoop. It wasn’t primary research. It was an important article and a very good one. You are just a moron.
What he reported was that temperature follows solar activity. This knowledge had been forgotten and bludgeoned out of us by leftist liars like yourself.
You’ve got to remember Luke. You fell for this baseless racket. I didn’t. That makes you the blockhead.
Luke: Was that pic the Dobell one?
You too gavin. You fell for this nonsense. That makes you the dunce-cap-wearer. And me the smart guy, even if only in comparison to you.
Imagine you clowns being so stupid that you fall for something for which you yourselves can find no supporting evidence.
Thats a whole lot of dumb going on between your ears gavin.
Resonance hey!
Luke: We’ve right on that cavity.
You are not right on anything gavin. You are an idiot. And evidence-free blockhead.
Gavin – it’s a wonder he’s allowed day leave – I guess it’s an outlet for him.
You and Gavin are the idiots here mate. I’ve watched this blog a very long time and neither or your morons have come up with any evidence yet.
Come on you two incompetent idiots. Lets have that evidence. And when you find it can you for the love of God go tell that moron Barry Brook.
Hmmm…Just to try and ask a serious question here for a minute: can anyone tell me why the BOM is still operating with a climate normal period of 1961 to 1990, when calculating anomalies?
Considering the last year of this “normal” period occurred 18 years ago, it just seems a bit odd.
Its blatant obscurantism in the general. And specifically it can be used to dupe people into thinking the weather isn’t colder than “usual”
There is no objective need to graph “anomalies”. Its bad practice. What they ought to be graphing is temperature. People are always doing this. Making up imaginary constructs and throwing them into the works to make matters less clear to the laity than they ought to be. Actually the Doctor was probably committing some sort of heresy by bringing some attention to this shabby practice.
Specifically It allows them to pretend that we are now warmer than “normal”. But that would be a surprise to anyone on the ground and not subject to the warmers propaganda.
We ought to be pedantic about this sort of thing. Systematically cleansing the science of any misleading practices or terms. Like for example their ought not be such a term as “forcing” This is a highly processed and hypothetical concept and so its extremely misleading.
I couldn’t even figure out what these people were on about when I first heard this jive about anomalies and forcing. Forcing really means “hypothetical changes to a hypothetical equilibrium global temperature as expressed in an hypothetical increase/decrease in watts per square metre due to an hypothetical one-step change in something or other.”
So the very term “forcing” imbeds circular reasoning into the process. And the term “anomaly” is an unnecessary bit of idiocy meant to confuse people and make insiders feel special about themselves.
Graeme, re anomalies, humans have always blamed the sun gods when they could not work out the forcings for anomalies like crop failures. So nothing new under the ………..
i i i the layout is in front of us right now and those who know know and those who dont dont see,i will offer what i recieved by instinct.astroid travels light and fluffy Dosent it [dippies blowwing it up great noww theres millions of themm just waiting to have impact yeah thanks scientists next is how the world was created.....dosent anyone see the first fundermental issue energy a reaction caused action co emblances the law of phyisics i know nothing but in nothing is everything!ok we have a reaction energy moves it clogs its own enternal wheel!!!!it attracts a hole which cases spining through the compession and spining the the world starts its solid form!!!!!all from an astriod getting caught up in the pull of the hole!!ok again with the heat and spining the astroid compresses until forms matter, rock, in and as natural gases acure the rubbing of gases consumed gravity with the ideal that heat is centred and as a compress heat with not forgetting the elemt of the rock perspires and thus create water thus cracked earth with deepth awsome life no worries im a single mother with four children in tasmania ....you look out for jupitor look i cant spell and i havent had a very good edu mancation i tell you something im discused in the way your approaching it judgement day is as simple as the truth i pray everyday that when you sleep you yourself wiil aline up and the knowing will make you feel that nausior[sick] that there will be no hiding awesome time ahead yes everything is ment to be for a reason yeah yeah yeah but ill tell you something else you might like to know i believe we are all from URANUS because all the shit people carry on about one day i will publish the little book of shit with all the holly pasages good luck with what you know…yes chinas got alot to do with it…Question mars was once earth there was humanity there was shipss the world end a cycle the peple were left in dormant space for so many generations the spaned and changed due to the exposer of new elements three generations before the could reach earth and thus theres your aliens now sothing is repeating dont you think sameold they the destoyers dont care about earth they ve know for longtime this is the war on earth in the bible. some have no hope for this planet i do i believe once we too line up that we will have evolved we only use so much of our brain there is areason why!and i feel that i to live as a sacrafice for truth and reflection so we can evolveThe ice age hasnt fished yet hu mans allways in a hurry
Jennifer,
I understand you were the defendant in the court case about Global Warming causing damage to coastline, because of the claimed rise in ocean levels.
If you would like to have copy of the report I recently completed showing the results from the study of 287 locations, covering all 100 years of the 20th century, I would be glad to send it to you, via “snail mail”, as it is not something I did with Windows, so I cannot send it via an e-mail attachment.
Briefly, the results are as follows for the 20th century, all 100 years for each location, 1900-1999. The figures I will show here are the rate direction and rate of temperature change for three different regressions on each location, results shown as change in degrees F., per century.
Average of all 287 locations:
All 100 years +0.82
1900-1933 +3.21
1934-1999 +0.08
In other words, the period 1900-1933 warmed at 40 times as rapid rate as did the remainder of the century! Most important, the really rapid rate of warming took place decades prior to the large scale usage of fossil fuels. There is no way Carbon Dioxide can be causing warming, because there isn’t any significant warming, and the rate of warming essentially stopped after the early 1930’s. In the 66 years 1934-1999, the TOTAL amount of warming, as an average of all these 287 locations was approximately 0.05 degrees F. 268 of these locations were from the US, 265 of them from the NOAA file on temperature data. All as rate/century.
The environmentalists, the media, and “Vested Interest Al Gore” try to tell us the high latitudes are warming more rapidly than in the more temperature parts of our planet.
For the non-US locations in this tabulation referred to above, the below gives the details for some “Far North” locations.
Avg., Temperature Change Per Century
Nation/Location No. locations 1900-1999 1900-1933 1934-1999
Denmark 2 +0.84 +1.88 -0.41
Greenland 5 +0.43 +12.39 -3.74
Iceland 2 +0.72 +6.26 -1.75
Norway 6 +1.09 +3.78 0.00
Average of the 15 locations above +0.79 +7.14 -1.53
A bit dificult to make a case for Global Warming isn’t it?
Wayne Byerly Nixa, MO 417-725-6818
To get a better understanding of what’s going on with the sun and the utimate impact on earth’s climate Google “Rhoads Fairbridge solar inertial motion”.