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	<title>Comments on: Belief in the Truth of a Theory (Again)</title>
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	<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/</link>
	<description>a forum for the discussion of issues concerning the natural environment</description>
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		<title>By: Leading Climate Scientists Don’t Really Believe Their Climate Theory (Part 1) &#171; An Honest Climate Debate</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/comment-page-1/#comment-65273</link>
		<dc:creator>Leading Climate Scientists Don’t Really Believe Their Climate Theory (Part 1) &#171; An Honest Climate Debate</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Oct 2008 22:43:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1764#comment-65273</guid>
		<description>[...] Belief in the truth of a theory is inversely proportional to the precision of the science.  At least that is what someone called Harris once said. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Belief in the truth of a theory is inversely proportional to the precision of the science.  At least that is what someone called Harris once said. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Celebrity Paycut - Encouraging celebrities all over the world to save us from global warming by taking a paycut.</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/comment-page-1/#comment-65260</link>
		<dc:creator>Celebrity Paycut - Encouraging celebrities all over the world to save us from global warming by taking a paycut.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Oct 2008 21:51:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1764#comment-65260</guid>
		<description>[...] Belief in the truth of a theory is inversely proportional to the precision of the science.  At least that is what someone called Harris once said. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Belief in the truth of a theory is inversely proportional to the precision of the science.  At least that is what someone called Harris once said. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Jennifer Marohasy &#187; Leading Climate Scientists Don’t Really Believe Their Climate Theory (Part 1)</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/comment-page-1/#comment-65258</link>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Marohasy &#187; Leading Climate Scientists Don’t Really Believe Their Climate Theory (Part 1)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Oct 2008 21:32:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1764#comment-65258</guid>
		<description>[...] Belief in the truth of a theory is inversely proportional to the precision of the science.  At least that is what someone called Harris once said. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Belief in the truth of a theory is inversely proportional to the precision of the science.  At least that is what someone called Harris once said. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Louis Hissink</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/comment-page-1/#comment-48616</link>
		<dc:creator>Louis Hissink</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 May 2008 03:36:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1764#comment-48616</guid>
		<description>Langmuire&#039;s pathological science is another case in point:

Pathological science, as defined by Langmuir, is a psychological process in which a scientist, originally conforming to the scientific method, unconsciously veers from that method, and begins a pathological process of wishful data interpretation (see the Observer-expectancy effect cognitive bias). Some characteristics of pathological science are:

The maximum effect that is observed is produced by a causative agent of barely detectable intensity, and the magnitude of the effect is substantially independent of the intensity of the cause.

The effect is of a magnitude that remains close to the limit of detectability, or many measurements are necessary because of the very low statistical significance of the results.

There are claims of great accuracy.

Fantastic theories contrary to experience are suggested.

Criticisms are met by ad hoc excuses.

The ratio of supporters to critics rises and then falls gradually to oblivion.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Langmuire&#8217;s pathological science is another case in point:</p>
<p>Pathological science, as defined by Langmuir, is a psychological process in which a scientist, originally conforming to the scientific method, unconsciously veers from that method, and begins a pathological process of wishful data interpretation (see the Observer-expectancy effect cognitive bias). Some characteristics of pathological science are:</p>
<p>The maximum effect that is observed is produced by a causative agent of barely detectable intensity, and the magnitude of the effect is substantially independent of the intensity of the cause.</p>
<p>The effect is of a magnitude that remains close to the limit of detectability, or many measurements are necessary because of the very low statistical significance of the results.</p>
<p>There are claims of great accuracy.</p>
<p>Fantastic theories contrary to experience are suggested.</p>
<p>Criticisms are met by ad hoc excuses.</p>
<p>The ratio of supporters to critics rises and then falls gradually to oblivion.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/comment-page-1/#comment-48615</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 May 2008 00:09:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1764#comment-48615</guid>
		<description>I think that a little bit of &quot;Carl Sagan&quot; would go a long ways about now:

&lt;a href=&quot;http://cjunk.blogspot.com/2008/05/carl-sagan-bunkometer-and-agw.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://cjunk.blogspot.com/2008/05/carl-sagan-bunkometer-and-agw.html&lt;/a&gt;


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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think that a little bit of &#8220;Carl Sagan&#8221; would go a long ways about now:</p>
<p><a href="http://cjunk.blogspot.com/2008/05/carl-sagan-bunkometer-and-agw.html" rel="nofollow">http://cjunk.blogspot.com/2008/05/carl-sagan-bunkometer-and-agw.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Jim Watson</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/comment-page-1/#comment-48614</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Watson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 May 2008 16:10:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1764#comment-48614</guid>
		<description>&quot;Falsifiability&quot; is also a pre-requesite for viability of a theory.

And since climate alarmists seem to think that ANY trend in global temperatures (such as the cooling trend we are now entering) can be explained by Global Warming, it seems the theory of Global Warming has just become &quot;unfalsifiable&quot; and therefore non-scientific.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Falsifiability&#8221; is also a pre-requesite for viability of a theory.</p>
<p>And since climate alarmists seem to think that ANY trend in global temperatures (such as the cooling trend we are now entering) can be explained by Global Warming, it seems the theory of Global Warming has just become &#8220;unfalsifiable&#8221; and therefore non-scientific.</p>
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		<title>By: Nexus 6</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/comment-page-1/#comment-48613</link>
		<dc:creator>Nexus 6</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 May 2008 12:56:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1764#comment-48613</guid>
		<description>&quot;Belief in the truth of a theory is inversely proportional to the precision of the science.&quot;

What a silly statement.  Relativity mustn&#039;t be that precise then.  Neither must quantum theory.

</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Belief in the truth of a theory is inversely proportional to the precision of the science.&#8221;</p>
<p>What a silly statement.  Relativity mustn&#8217;t be that precise then.  Neither must quantum theory.</p>
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		<title>By: Louis Hissink</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/comment-page-1/#comment-48612</link>
		<dc:creator>Louis Hissink</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 May 2008 09:39:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1764#comment-48612</guid>
		<description>and &quot;If, occasionally, historical evidence does not square with formulated laws, it should be remembered that a law is but a deduction from experience and experiment, and therefore laws must conform with historical facts, not facts with laws&quot;.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>and &#8220;If, occasionally, historical evidence does not square with formulated laws, it should be remembered that a law is but a deduction from experience and experiment, and therefore laws must conform with historical facts, not facts with laws&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>By: Ian Beale</title>
		<link>http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2008/05/belief-in-the-truth-of-a-theory-again/comment-page-1/#comment-48611</link>
		<dc:creator>Ian Beale</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 May 2008 09:25:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/?p=1764#comment-48611</guid>
		<description>In similar vein and news for some:-

&quot;But to attempt to assess the future calls for extrapolation, which, as the designer of the De Havilland Comet said after he found out why Comets were coming apart in the air, is the fertile mother of error&quot;
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In similar vein and news for some:-</p>
<p>&#8220;But to attempt to assess the future calls for extrapolation, which, as the designer of the De Havilland Comet said after he found out why Comets were coming apart in the air, is the fertile mother of error&#8221;</p>
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